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USA Economic News Briefing > Q3 / 2009

  • Insolvencies and higher unemployment would weigh on economic performance
  • Experts says the recession is likely to be W-shaped; another downturn is likely in the autumn
  • President Obama to renew Ben Bernanke as Fed chairman;
  • The Fed's and the ECB's relative monetary policy stances will determine the future of the dollar as the global reserve currency
  • There is a global dollar glut, which will be weigh down on the dollar's exchange rate in the long run.
  • Worries about a strong inflation after the crisis
  • The Fed outlines four-point exit strategy; Not many people believe it
  • Questions arise if financial markets are fooled by the bad bank and accounting trick to improve bank assets valuation
  • Moody's says bad bank scheme will not change credit ratings
  • Interest-only mortgage could become the next critical issue facing the US housing market
  • US consumer credit has been declining at record rates in July
  • IMF warns about US failure to take back stimulus in time
  • A new measure of Total Factor Productivity suggests that potential growth may not have fallen in the US during this recession
  • Moody's says US banks have made insufficient loan provisions, as crisis will take a worse toll than expected
  • Jeff Frankel says all US labor market indicators suggests that crisis is not over
  • A bad US jobs data report sends Wall Street down 3%, and serves as a reminder that the real economic crisis is only just beginning
  • The situation is deteriorating again, and that deflation is now a very real prospect
  • There are no green shoots yet in the US car sector
  • Lack of trust and transparency of the US banks stress tests
  • US suggests house prices are falling, but not as fast as before
  • Inflation perception is a big problem, and the US should make it clear that it would not allow inflation to rise
  • US is at risk if emerging countries reduce their foreign reserves
  • Risk aversion among investors is on the rise again, as stock and commodity indexes fall
  • US & EU regulatory reforms are insufficient
  • Warnings that policy makers should not repeat the mistakes of 1937, and exit too early
  • Obama gives the Fed's powers over too-large-to-fail institutions; Proposals for derivatives are more modest
  • Calls for more regulations of the too-large-to-fail financial institutions
  • Global demand for US government securities is falling
  • Dollar's global share as a reserve currency is falling slowly
  • US credit card companies are negotiating generous settlements with their customers. The Fed's beige book is cautious about green shoots
  • Concern about the effect of the rise in US bond yields on the recovery
  • US trend output might fall
  • The Fed says it has no idea about why bond yields are going up
     

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